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WTI crude plunged 11.9% from $119 to $83 after Trump predicted Middle East peace and the Energy Secretary's tanker escort claim was deleted within hours.
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$60 Surplus to $140 Catastrophe Scenarios Before the February 2026 Iran strikes, Brent crude was forecast to average $60–$64 per barrel on structural oversupply of 0.8–3.5 million barrels per day. Within hours of the first bombs falling, Brent surged past $72.48 to an eight-month
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